Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.155597 0.177701 0.202629 0.232983 0.269157 0.311149 0.363968
2025-06-29 0.120283 0.148807 0.184387 0.232706 0.297675 0.383575 0.508446
2025-07-06 0.098212 0.128586 0.169328 0.229361 0.318017 0.448277 0.662507
2025-07-13 0.085648 0.117332 0.162412 0.233512 0.347329 0.531049 0.870009
2025-07-20 0.076708 0.109106 0.157540 0.238529 0.377742 0.622553 1.126309
2025-07-27 0.069703 0.102377 0.153353 0.243095 0.407585 0.720804 1.436966
2025-08-03 0.064401 0.097350 0.150779 0.249411 0.441463 0.836438 1.840506
2025-08-10 0.059283 0.091843 0.146426 0.251463 0.467338 0.943776 2.283424
2025-08-17 0.054753 0.086694 0.141855 0.252077 0.490184 1.051945 2.795522
2025-08-24 0.050574 0.081627 0.136684 0.250475 0.507728 1.153624 3.359002
2025-08-31 0.046679 0.076616 0.130942 0.246658 0.519259 1.244235 3.956054
2025-09-07 0.044438 0.074321 0.129979 0.252664 0.555757 1.418449 5.026293
2025-09-14 0.041143 0.069816 0.124315 0.247724 0.564396 1.517039 5.895280
2025-09-21 0.038923 0.067123 0.121951 0.249938 0.592936 1.693743 7.366274
2025-09-28 0.036437 0.063682 0.117661 0.246935 0.606465 1.827263 8.805114
2025-10-05 0.034886 0.061914 0.116638 0.251657 0.643952 2.069695 11.351880
2025-10-12 0.033536 0.060409 0.115989 0.257208 0.685900 2.356462 14.867293
2025-10-19 0.032252 0.058917 0.115186 0.262233 0.728037 2.673676 19.543136
2025-10-26 0.031199 0.057804 0.115095 0.269174 0.779253 3.072716 26.503181
2025-11-02 0.029910 0.056078 0.113409 0.271431 0.814995 3.424636 34.530912
2025-11-09 0.028622 0.054248 0.111285 0.272105 0.845476 3.776323 44.586936
2025-11-16 0.027289 0.052218 0.108479 0.270345 0.866339 4.093265 56.311923
2025-11-23 0.025923 0.050013 0.105038 0.266150 0.876430 4.355622 69.211199